SMB Mathematical Epidemiology Subgroup
The Mathematical Epidemiology Subgroup looks forward to hosting a minisymposium on Tuesday 23 July 2019 on the topic:
Modelling Time since Infection: Theory and Implications
The classic model of infectious-disease spread that is attributed to Kermack and McKendrick was initially derived from their more general time-since-infection model by assuming that the infectious period is exponentially distributed. That mathematically convenient, but biologically unrealistic, assumption characterises much of the subsequent infectious disease modelling literature. Our minisymposium will feature presentations by researchers who in recent years have developed and/or applied models with non-exponentially distributed stage durations. The goal of the minisymposium is to present the state of the art in modelling this aspect of infectious disease transmission, and to consider its implications for data analysis and epidemic forecasting.
The minisymposium will take place in the morning and afternoon of the Tuesday of the annual meeting in Montreal. Our annual subgroup business meeting will be held in the lunch period between the two sessions. Please attend if you are interested in Mathematical Epidemiology, and please e-mail us if you would like to join the subgroup.
David Earn, Jonathan Dushoff, and Zhilan Feng